From Hillary Clinton’s victory speech in Indiana last night:
Not too long ago, my opponent made a prediction. He said I would probably win Pennsylvania. He would win North Carolina, and Indiana would be the tie-breaker. Well, tonight we've come from behind, we've broken the tie, and thanks to you, it's full speed on to the White House.
She refers to an off-hand prediction made by Barack Obama before the Pennsylvania primary. It turns out Barack was right about who would win what — Hillary took Pennsylvania and he won North Carolina — but there was never a tie to break. What tie is Hillary talking about?
Was she referring to the tie between she and Barack for the popular vote? That’s not possible; they weren’t tied prior to Indiana and North Carolina. Obama has led her in popular votes for months. Following his blow-out victory in North Carolina yesterday, he’s even ahead when the disqualified votes of Michigan and Florida are counted.
Did Hillary mean the tie in the delegate count? Impossible, since Barack’s had the lead there for awhile, too. Hillary’s narrow victory in Indiana only earned her four more of that state’s delegates than Barack, while Barack’s win in N.C. allowed him to widen his pre-existing lead. Barack now holds 1,845 pledged delegates, to Hillary’s 1,693.
Did she mean the tie between she and Barack in the total number of state primaries and caucuses won? That one’s not even close — of the forty-six contests held to this point, Barack has won 28 to Hillary’s 18. More than a few of those have been bloodbaths — Barack beat Hillary in Hawaii by 52%, in Idaho by 62%, in Alaska by 50%, in Kansas by 48%, in the District of Columbia by 51%. The closest Hillary has come to such a landslide win, other than in the uncontested Michigan primary, was in her old home state of Arkansas, where she won by 43%.
The 2008 Democratic primary race was not a tie prior to yesterday. It has not been a tie since it began; it has played out consistently as Barack Obama kicking Hillary Clinton’s ass, then Hillary struggling to fight her way out of her corner. Statistically, the race has been over for some time. Barring an increasingly unlikely super delegate coup, Obama is the inevitable nominee. The fact that Hillary did not bow out gracefully weeks ago should give you some insight into her priorities.
“This has always been your campaign and this is your victory,” Hillary told her supporters in Indiana last night. Even from a woman as dependably and flagrantly disingenuous as her, that’s a shocking bit of bullshit.